Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Seoul's April 16 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 17–22°C and a slight edge to 18°C from ensemble means accounting for mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show no major shifts in the past 24 hours, amid spring's typical transition from cooler mornings (around 8–10°C) to afternoon peaks influenced by retreating Siberian High and urban heat island effects in Seoul. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C, but daily variability from jet stream positioning differentiates outcomes—stronger warm advection favors 20°C+, while increased northerlies support 16–17°C. New model runs expected within 12 hours could refine probabilities ahead of official KMA measurement at Seoul station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
23°C 27%
24°C or higher 19.4%
22°C 17%
21°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
16 abr 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
10%
21°C
14%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
19%
23°C 27%
24°C or higher 19.4%
22°C 17%
21°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
16 abr 2026
14°C or below
$439 Vol.
1%
15°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$542 Vol.
2%
17°C
$535 Vol.
2%
18°C
$521 Vol.
7%
19°C
$428 Vol.
8%
20°C
$190 Vol.
10%
21°C
$325 Vol.
14%
22°C
$416 Vol.
17%
23°C
$552 Vol.
27%
24°C or higher
$855 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Seoul's April 16 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 17–22°C and a slight edge to 18°C from ensemble means accounting for mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show no major shifts in the past 24 hours, amid spring's typical transition from cooler mornings (around 8–10°C) to afternoon peaks influenced by retreating Siberian High and urban heat island effects in Seoul. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C, but daily variability from jet stream positioning differentiates outcomes—stronger warm advection favors 20°C+, while increased northerlies support 16–17°C. New model runs expected within 12 hours could refine probabilities ahead of official KMA measurement at Seoul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$4,811Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Seoul's April 16 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 17–22°C and a slight edge to 18°C from ensemble means accounting for mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show no major shifts in the past 24 hours, amid spring's typical transition from cooler mornings (around 8–10°C) to afternoon peaks influenced by retreating Siberian High and urban heat island effects in Seoul. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C, but daily variability from jet stream positioning differentiates outcomes—stronger warm advection favors 20°C+, while increased northerlies support 16–17°C. New model runs expected within 12 hours could refine probabilities ahead of official KMA measurement at Seoul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,811Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Seoul's April 16 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 17–22°C and a slight edge to 18°C from ensemble means accounting for mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show no major shifts in the past 24 hours, amid spring's typical transition from cooler mornings (around 8–10°C) to afternoon peaks influenced by retreating Siberian High and urban heat island effects in Seoul. Historical mid-April averages hover near 18°C, but daily variability from jet stream positioning differentiates outcomes—stronger warm advection favors 20°C+, while increased northerlies support 16–17°C. New model runs expected within 12 hours could refine probabilities ahead of official KMA measurement at Seoul station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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