Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 23 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 23 de junho?
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$189,195 Vol.
$189,195 Vol.
23 jun 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$189,195 Vol.
$189,195 Vol.
23 jun 2026
19°C ou menos
$371 Vol.
Não
20°C
$27,301 Vol.
Não
21°C
$3,336 Vol.
Não
22°C
$8,297 Vol.
Não
23°C
$82,055 Vol.
Não
24°C
$32,728 Vol.
Sim
25°C
$15,880 Vol.
Não
26°C
$8,461 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,764 Vol.
Não
28°C
$2,558 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$3,444 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$189,195Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$189,195Data de Término
23 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS, updated within the past 48 hours, show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the mei-yu front, keeping the June 23 daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting model consensus on limited solar heating and elevated boundary-layer moisture during the East Asian summer monsoon. Historical June climatology places average highs near 27–28 °C, but the current pattern favors suppressed temperatures by 2–3 °C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 24 °C and 25 °C against potential model timing differences in any convective cells and the precise strength of onshore flow, with the next high-resolution runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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