Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
30°C 35%
29°C 30%
31°C 18%
28°C 14%
NOVO
$21,002 Vol.
NOVO
$21,002 Vol.
18 abr 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
14%
29°C
30%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 30%
31°C 18%
28°C 14%
NOVO
$21,002 Vol.
NOVO
$21,002 Vol.
18 abr 2026
23°C or below
$857 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,653 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,318 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,720 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,722 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,239 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1,279 Vol.
35%
31°C
$2,060 Vol.
18%
32°C
$2,603 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$1,985 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$21,002Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,002Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 at a razor-thin 29–30°C range at Bao'an International Airport, driving the tight trader split between 30°C (34.5% implied probability) and 29°C (29.5%). Morning showers from incoming Guangdong convection—71% precipitation chance per recent guidance—could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, while brief afternoon sunshine breaks might boost insolation enough for 30°C. Recent days saw 30°C highs on April 15–16 before thundershowers moderated April 17 to 29°C, aligning with climatological April averages of 27°C amid strengthening subtropical ridging. Overnight model updates and hourly observations will sharpen resolution certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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