Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 36%
33°C 22%
32°C 22%
31°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
22%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
36%
35°C or higher 36%
33°C 22%
32°C 22%
31°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
25°C or below
$310 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$50 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$10 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$8 Vol.
14%
35°C or higher
$99 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$479Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$479Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model runs showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This pattern promotes subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds and traps heat—coupled with warm southerly winds advecting desert air, pushing highs well above the April climatological average of 23°C. Recent developments include a marked temperature rise since April 10, with peaks forecasted at 37°C mid-week in lowlands, as confirmed by local updates; prior days like April 14 recorded 30°C. New model ensembles due April 15–16 could shift odds, with resolution per official IMS station data amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions