Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C highs for Tel Aviv on April 19, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of unseasonably warm conditions amid a significant temperature rise across the coastal plain, tempered by strong northerly winds. These winds introduce uncertainty, potentially enhancing sea breeze effects to moderate peak heating below 25°C or allowing clearer skies and solar insolation to push toward 26°C if lighter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and upper-level ridging persistence, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C but elevated by the current high-pressure pattern. New IMS advisories and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 19?
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
19 abr 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
14%
23°C
29%
24°C
31%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
11%
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
25°C 23%
22°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
19 abr 2026
16°C or below
$195 Vol.
1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
1%
18°C
$19 Vol.
2%
19°C
$39 Vol.
3%
20°C
$25 Vol.
3%
21°C
$25 Vol.
11%
22°C
$26 Vol.
14%
23°C
$7 Vol.
29%
24°C
$7 Vol.
31%
25°C
$7 Vol.
23%
26°C or higher
$38 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C highs for Tel Aviv on April 19, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of unseasonably warm conditions amid a significant temperature rise across the coastal plain, tempered by strong northerly winds. These winds introduce uncertainty, potentially enhancing sea breeze effects to moderate peak heating below 25°C or allowing clearer skies and solar insolation to push toward 26°C if lighter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and upper-level ridging persistence, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C but elevated by the current high-pressure pattern. New IMS advisories and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$327Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C highs for Tel Aviv on April 19, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of unseasonably warm conditions amid a significant temperature rise across the coastal plain, tempered by strong northerly winds. These winds introduce uncertainty, potentially enhancing sea breeze effects to moderate peak heating below 25°C or allowing clearer skies and solar insolation to push toward 26°C if lighter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and upper-level ridging persistence, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C but elevated by the current high-pressure pattern. New IMS advisories and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$327Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 23–25°C highs for Tel Aviv on April 19, driven by Israel Meteorological Service forecasts of unseasonably warm conditions amid a significant temperature rise across the coastal plain, tempered by strong northerly winds. These winds introduce uncertainty, potentially enhancing sea breeze effects to moderate peak heating below 25°C or allowing clearer skies and solar insolation to push toward 26°C if lighter. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spreads of 2–3°C due to variable cloud cover and upper-level ridging persistence, aligning with April climatological averages of 22–24°C but elevated by the current high-pressure pattern. New IMS advisories and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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