Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 26 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 26 de abril?
11°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 Vol.
$68,525 Vol.
26 abr 2026
4°C ou menos
Não
5°C
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Sim
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C ou mais
Não
11°C 100.0%
4°C ou menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 Vol.
$68,525 Vol.
26 abr 2026
4°C ou menos
$736 Vol.
Não
5°C
$2,141 Vol.
Não
6°C
$1,181 Vol.
Não
7°C
$1,318 Vol.
Não
8°C
$7,138 Vol.
Não
9°C
$10,991 Vol.
Não
10°C
$10,495 Vol.
Não
11°C
$13,202 Vol.
Sim
12°C
$10,376 Vol.
Não
13°C
$6,035 Vol.
Não
14°C ou mais
$4,912 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$68,525Data de Término
26 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,525Data de Término
26 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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