Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 13 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range under clear skies and moderate northerly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 16°C average lows. Primary drivers include strong radiative cooling under high pressure and dry air masses, with limited cloud cover or southerly advection to moderate temperatures. Minor model spread arises from boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, creating uncertainty around the precise minimum. With market-implied odds evenly split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ extremes alongside clustered probabilities near 16–17°C, traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential deviations from ensemble consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Pequim no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Pequim no dia 13 de setembro?
11°C ou menos 77%
21°C ou mais 77%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
11°C ou menos
77%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
21%
15°C
22%
16°C
28%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C ou mais
77%
11°C ou menos 77%
21°C ou mais 77%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
77%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 13 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range under clear skies and moderate northerly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 16°C average lows. Primary drivers include strong radiative cooling under high pressure and dry air masses, with limited cloud cover or southerly advection to moderate temperatures. Minor model spread arises from boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, creating uncertainty around the precise minimum. With market-implied odds evenly split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ extremes alongside clustered probabilities near 16–17°C, traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential deviations from ensemble consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 13 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range under clear skies and moderate northerly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 16°C average lows. Primary drivers include strong radiative cooling under high pressure and dry air masses, with limited cloud cover or southerly advection to moderate temperatures. Minor model spread arises from boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, creating uncertainty around the precise minimum. With market-implied odds evenly split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ extremes alongside clustered probabilities near 16–17°C, traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential deviations from ensemble consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 13 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range under clear skies and moderate northerly flow, consistent with mid-September climatology of roughly 16°C average lows. Primary drivers include strong radiative cooling under high pressure and dry air masses, with limited cloud cover or southerly advection to moderate temperatures. Minor model spread arises from boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, creating uncertainty around the precise minimum. With market-implied odds evenly split between sub-11°C and 21°C+ extremes alongside clustered probabilities near 16–17°C, traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential deviations from ensemble consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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