Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's September 7 minimum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by lingering subtropical high pressure maintaining warm overnight conditions under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent high daytime temperatures near 33–35°C have kept the boundary layer warm, while an approaching frontal system and increased moisture are expected to arrive mainly after September 8, introducing only modest uncertainty for the 7th itself. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or model resolution of the nocturnal inversion can easily move the low across the 21–25°C range, with historical September minima for the city averaging near 20–22°C providing limited guidance this close to the date.