Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall in the 24–27 °C range, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Recent thunderstorm activity has maintained elevated dew points near 24 °C, reducing the chance of sharp drops below 23 °C while also preventing extreme daytime heat from carrying over. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25 °C, with model consensus currently clustered around 25–26 °C. The near-even market-implied odds on the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets reflect trader hedging amid forecast uncertainty rather than observed trends, as no cold-air intrusion or heat dome is expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 24 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 24 de setembro?
20°C ou menos 98%
30°C ou mais 98%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
20°C ou menos
98%
21 °C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
38%
29°C
18%
30°C ou mais
98%
20°C ou menos 98%
30°C ou mais 98%
26°C 44%
25°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
24 set 2026
20°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
98%
21 °C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$10 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall in the 24–27 °C range, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Recent thunderstorm activity has maintained elevated dew points near 24 °C, reducing the chance of sharp drops below 23 °C while also preventing extreme daytime heat from carrying over. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25 °C, with model consensus currently clustered around 25–26 °C. The near-even market-implied odds on the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets reflect trader hedging amid forecast uncertainty rather than observed trends, as no cold-air intrusion or heat dome is expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$10Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall in the 24–27 °C range, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Recent thunderstorm activity has maintained elevated dew points near 24 °C, reducing the chance of sharp drops below 23 °C while also preventing extreme daytime heat from carrying over. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25 °C, with model consensus currently clustered around 25–26 °C. The near-even market-implied odds on the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets reflect trader hedging amid forecast uncertainty rather than observed trends, as no cold-air intrusion or heat dome is expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall in the 24–27 °C range, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Recent thunderstorm activity has maintained elevated dew points near 24 °C, reducing the chance of sharp drops below 23 °C while also preventing extreme daytime heat from carrying over. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25 °C, with model consensus currently clustered around 25–26 °C. The near-even market-implied odds on the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets reflect trader hedging amid forecast uncertainty rather than observed trends, as no cold-air intrusion or heat dome is expected in the next 48 hours. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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