Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment on 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in London on June 20, with those outcomes holding near-even implied probabilities. Building high pressure is drawing warmer air northward, raising overnight lows above recent cooler baselines while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating variables include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and London’s urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C between adjacent model runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 20 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres em 20 de junho?
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,896 Vol.
$15,896 Vol.
20 jun 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,896 Vol.
$15,896 Vol.
20 jun 2026
14°C ou menos
$759 Vol.
Não
15°C
$694 Vol.
Não
16°C
$998 Vol.
Não
17°C
$3,738 Vol.
Não
18°C
$3,745 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$1,000 Vol.
Não
20°C
$690 Vol.
Não
21°C
$850 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,226 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,790 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$406 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment on 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in London on June 20, with those outcomes holding near-even implied probabilities. Building high pressure is drawing warmer air northward, raising overnight lows above recent cooler baselines while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating variables include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and London’s urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C between adjacent model runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,896Data de Término
20 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment on 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in London on June 20, with those outcomes holding near-even implied probabilities. Building high pressure is drawing warmer air northward, raising overnight lows above recent cooler baselines while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating variables include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and London’s urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C between adjacent model runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,896Data de Término
20 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently anchor trader sentiment on 17–18°C as the most probable minimum temperature in London on June 20, with those outcomes holding near-even implied probabilities. Building high pressure is drawing warmer air northward, raising overnight lows above recent cooler baselines while limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiating variables include precise cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer wind speeds, and London’s urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C between adjacent model runs. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions