Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 5 de junho?
12°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
6°C ou menos
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C ou mais
Não
12°C 100.0%
6°C ou menos <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Vol.
$36,837 Vol.
6°C ou menos
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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