Skip to main content
icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?

Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?

Ended: mai 4

jul 25

jul 26

Ended: mai 4

jul 25

jul 26

70-71°F 100.0%

67°F ou menos <1%

68-69°F <1%

72-73°F <1%

Polymarket

$20,854 Vol.

70-71°F 100.0%

67°F ou menos <1%

68-69°F <1%

72-73°F <1%

Polymarket

$20,854 Vol.

67°F ou menos

$1,443 Vol.

Não

68-69°F

$1,035 Vol.

Não

70-71°F

$1,437 Vol.

Sim

72-73°F

$863 Vol.

Não

74-75°F

$896 Vol.

Não

76-77°F

$558 Vol.

Não

78-79°F

$2,742 Vol.

Não

80-81°F

$1,317 Vol.

Não

82-83°F

$1,767 Vol.

Não

84-85°F

$8,373 Vol.

Não

86°F ou mais

$423 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,854
Data de Término
4 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 71°F around 6 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected overnight lows in the low 70s amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 5-10 mph, and limited radiative cooling that prevented deeper drops below climatological May 4 norms of 72°F. Historical data shows early-May lows rarely dip below 70°F without clear skies and calm winds; a data revision from official METAR reports would be needed to challenge this positioning, though such corrections are rare post-validation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,854
Data de Término
4 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Relacionado

icon for A temperatura mínima em Miami estará entre 78-79°F em 26 de julho?

A temperatura mínima em Miami estará entre 78-79°F em 26 de julho?

31%
Sim
icon for A temperatura mais baixa em Miami estará entre 80-81°F em 25 de julho?

A temperatura mais baixa em Miami estará entre 80-81°F em 25 de julho?

40%
Sim
icon for A temperatura máxima em Miami estará entre 92-93°F em 26 de julho?

A temperatura máxima em Miami estará entre 92-93°F em 26 de julho?

46%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70-71°F" at 100%, followed by "67°F ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?" has generated $20.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?" is "70-71°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "67°F ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.