National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 6 de maio?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F ou menos <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 Vol.
$75,298 Vol.
69°F ou menos
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Sim
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88°F ou mais
Não
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F ou menos <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 Vol.
$75,298 Vol.
69°F ou menos
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Sim
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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