Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 28 likely falling between 9–12°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling. With daytime highs near 19°C and light winds expected, clear periods overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of this range, consistent with climatological August minima averaging 11.3°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–11°C outcomes because ensemble model runs show modest divergence in dew point and boundary-layer conditions, while probabilities drop sharply above 13°C due to limited warming potential this late in the season. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine the exact low ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 28 de agosto?
14°C 50%
10°C 45%
11°C 45%
9°C 44%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
44%
8°C
44%
9°C
44%
10°C
45%
11°C
45%
12°C
44%
13°C
43%
14°C
50%
15°C
34%
16°C or higher
5%
14°C 50%
10°C 45%
11°C 45%
9°C 44%
6°C or below
22%
7°C
44%
8°C
44%
9°C
44%
10°C
45%
11°C
45%
12°C
44%
13°C
43%
14°C
50%
15°C
34%
16°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Moscow on August 28 likely falling between 9–12°C, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air masses and variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling. With daytime highs near 19°C and light winds expected, clear periods overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward the lower end of this range, consistent with climatological August minima averaging 11.3°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–11°C outcomes because ensemble model runs show modest divergence in dew point and boundary-layer conditions, while probabilities drop sharply above 13°C due to limited warming potential this late in the season. Updated guidance from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center will refine the exact low ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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