The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 6 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 6 de maio?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F ou menos <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 Vol.
$87,308 Vol.
6 mai 2026
51°F ou menos
Não
52-53°F
Não
54-55°F
Não
56-57°F
Sim
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70°F ou mais
Não
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F ou menos <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 Vol.
$87,308 Vol.
6 mai 2026
51°F ou menos
$9,321 Vol.
Não
52-53°F
$5,209 Vol.
Não
54-55°F
$6,211 Vol.
Não
56-57°F
$19,669 Vol.
Sim
58-59°F
$32,184 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$2,015 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$1,172 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$3,042 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$2,730 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$2,452 Vol.
Não
70°F ou mais
$3,304 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$87,308Data de Término
6 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$87,308Data de Término
6 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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