Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 30 de agosto?
18°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C 31%
17°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
8%
13°C
9%
14°C
15%
15°C
31%
16°C
36%
17°C
41%
18°C
37%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
9%
18°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C 31%
17°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
$135 Vol.
8%
13°C
$130 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
36%
17°C
$36 Vol.
41%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$311Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$311Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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