Strong meteorological forecasts for June 13, 2026, underpin the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low in Paris, with models from Météo-France and European ensembles projecting clear skies, light winds, and stable overnight conditions yielding a minimum near that threshold at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover near 13–14°C but recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings milder. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs, which show limited spread and minimal risk of significant cooling. Only a late-model shift introducing unexpected radiative cooling or localized fog could realistically push the actual minimum to 15°C or below, though such revisions remain unlikely given current observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 13 de junho?
16°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
$12,106 Vol.
$12,106 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
16°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
$12,106 Vol.
$12,106 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Strong meteorological forecasts for June 13, 2026, underpin the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low in Paris, with models from Météo-France and European ensembles projecting clear skies, light winds, and stable overnight conditions yielding a minimum near that threshold at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover near 13–14°C but recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings milder. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs, which show limited spread and minimal risk of significant cooling. Only a late-model shift introducing unexpected radiative cooling or localized fog could realistically push the actual minimum to 15°C or below, though such revisions remain unlikely given current observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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