**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 17 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 17 de junho?
16°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 Vol.
$15,911 Vol.
17 jun 2026
13°C ou menos
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Sim
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C ou mais
Não
16°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 Vol.
$15,911 Vol.
17 jun 2026
13°C ou menos
$1,350 Vol.
Não
14°C
$1,402 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,708 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,331 Vol.
Sim
17°C
$1,684 Vol.
Não
18°C
$2,891 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,161 Vol.
Não
20°C
$484 Vol.
Não
21°C
$290 Vol.
Não
22°C
$305 Vol.
Não
23°C ou mais
$305 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$15,911Data de Término
17 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,911Data de Término
17 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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