The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 11 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 11 de junho?
18°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 Vol.
$23,297 Vol.
11 jun 2026
13°C ou menos
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C ou mais
Não
18°C 100.0%
13°C ou menos <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 Vol.
$23,297 Vol.
11 jun 2026
13°C ou menos
$517 Vol.
Não
14°C
$1,410 Vol.
Não
15°C
$996 Vol.
Não
16°C
$887 Vol.
Não
17°C
$1,260 Vol.
Não
18°C
$4,388 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$4,747 Vol.
Não
20°C
$5,376 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,405 Vol.
Não
22°C
$739 Vol.
Não
23°C ou mais
$1,573 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$23,297Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,297Data de Término
11 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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