Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 19 de junho?
21°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,584 Vol.
$14,584 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
21°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$14,584 Vol.
$14,584 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 19 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 30% precipitation chance, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 20–21°C outcomes. This reflects typical early-summer tsuyu conditions moderating nocturnal cooling through elevated humidity and cloud cover, consistent with climatological normals near 19°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with traders incorporating historical June low ranges of 18–22°C and limited upside risk from any clearing skies that could allow slightly cooler readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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