The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEduardo Riedel 71%
Fábio Trad 28%
Jeferson Bezerra 25%
Economista Renato Gomes 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Eduardo Riedel
73%
Fábio Trad
28%
Jeferson Bezerra
25%
Economista Renato Gomes
18%
João Henrique Catan
21%
Delcidio Amaral
28%
Lucien Rezende
25%
Daniel Lemes
28%
Eduardo Riedel 71%
Fábio Trad 28%
Jeferson Bezerra 25%
Economista Renato Gomes 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Eduardo Riedel
$181 Vol.
73%
Fábio Trad
$72 Vol.
28%
Jeferson Bezerra
$72 Vol.
25%
Economista Renato Gomes
$67 Vol.
18%
João Henrique Catan
$72 Vol.
21%
Delcidio Amaral
$72 Vol.
28%
Lucien Rezende
$92 Vol.
25%
Daniel Lemes
$72 Vol.
28%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
Volume
$176Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$176Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race reflect a fragmented field of eight confirmed candidates ahead of the October 2026 vote, with the incumbent Eduardo Riedel (PP) holding a polling edge but facing viable opposition from Fábio Trad (PT), João Henrique Catan (NOVO), and others. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have sustained this dispersion, as no single contender has consolidated broad support or triggered major shifts in voter intentions. Upcoming polling releases, coalition formations, and first-round debate performances could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner viability or boosting lesser-known names, while the absence of decisive late momentum keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the board.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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