OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo modelo GPT sol (5.7+) lançado em...?
Próximo modelo GPT sol (5.7+) lançado em...?
Em ou antes de 22 de setembro 82.4%
23 de setembro 19%
24 de setembro 4.1%
1º de outubro 3.5%
NOVO
$30,030 Vol.
NOVO
$30,030 Vol.
22 set 2026
Em ou antes de 22 de setembro
75%
23 de setembro
11%
24 de setembro
4%
25 de setembro
1%
26 de setembro
1%
27 de setembro
1%
28 de setembro
1%
29 de setembro
3%
30 de setembro
1%
1º de outubro
4%
2 de outubro
1%
3 de outubro
3%
4 de outubro
<1%
5 de outubro
2%
Sem lançamento até 5 de outubro
<1%
Em ou antes de 22 de setembro 82.4%
23 de setembro 19%
24 de setembro 4.1%
1º de outubro 3.5%
NOVO
$30,030 Vol.
NOVO
$30,030 Vol.
22 set 2026
Em ou antes de 22 de setembro
$9,169 Vol.
75%
23 de setembro
$2,312 Vol.
11%
24 de setembro
$1,938 Vol.
4%
25 de setembro
$1,484 Vol.
1%
26 de setembro
$1,599 Vol.
1%
27 de setembro
$1,599 Vol.
1%
28 de setembro
$1,254 Vol.
1%
29 de setembro
$1,873 Vol.
3%
30 de setembro
$1,474 Vol.
1%
1º de outubro
$1,219 Vol.
4%
2 de outubro
$1,361 Vol.
1%
3 de outubro
$1,413 Vol.
3%
4 de outubro
$777 Vol.
<1%
5 de outubro
$1,347 Vol.
2%
Sem lançamento até 5 de outubro
$1,302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Volume
$30,030Data de Término
6 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$30,030Data de Término
6 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid iteration cadence after the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, combined with continued refinement of the GPT-5.6 Sol family and competitive pressure from rivals, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent 5.7+ Sol release. The 82% implied probability for a launch on or before September 22 reflects recent API governance updates, pricing adjustments, and internal capability demonstrations that align with OpenAI’s pattern of frequent frontier-model drops. Key swing factors include any last-minute safety or regulatory reviews that could push the timeline, while the low odds on later dates highlight the market’s expectation that development momentum and user demand will favor a near-term rollout.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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