Recent September 2026 model launches have compressed performance gaps, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra topping intelligence and coding benchmarks while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash emphasizes speed and lower cost. Traders see second-place positioning as fluid among Google DeepMind, Meta’s Muse Spark, and Anthropic due to differences in agentic workflows, context handling, enterprise revenue momentum, and open-weight traction. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Alibaba add pressure through competitive pricing and token volume gains. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over which lab sustains the clearest edge through November amid ongoing releases and adoption shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSegundo melhor laboratório de IA no final de novembro?
Segundo melhor laboratório de IA no final de novembro?
Google 44%
Meta 25%
Anthropic 16%
Moonshot 8.9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
44%
Meta
25%
Anthropic
16%
Moonshot
8%
OpenAI
7%
Alibaba
7%
SpaceXAI
5%
Baidu
3%
Z.ai
3%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Amazon
1%
Tencent
1%
Google 44%
Meta 25%
Anthropic 16%
Moonshot 8.9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
$2,248 Vol.
44%
Meta
$916 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$636 Vol.
16%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$192 Vol.
7%
Alibaba
$200 Vol.
7%
SpaceXAI
$187 Vol.
5%
Baidu
$187 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$187 Vol.
3%
Xiaomi
$187 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$176 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$197 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$187 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$187 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$176 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$187 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$187 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$176 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$176 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$186 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent September 2026 model launches have compressed performance gaps, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra topping intelligence and coding benchmarks while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash emphasizes speed and lower cost. Traders see second-place positioning as fluid among Google DeepMind, Meta’s Muse Spark, and Anthropic due to differences in agentic workflows, context handling, enterprise revenue momentum, and open-weight traction. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Alibaba add pressure through competitive pricing and token volume gains. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over which lab sustains the clearest edge through November amid ongoing releases and adoption shifts.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$7,260Data de Término
1 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent September 2026 model launches have compressed performance gaps, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra topping intelligence and coding benchmarks while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash emphasizes speed and lower cost. Traders see second-place positioning as fluid among Google DeepMind, Meta’s Muse Spark, and Anthropic due to differences in agentic workflows, context handling, enterprise revenue momentum, and open-weight traction. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Alibaba add pressure through competitive pricing and token volume gains. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over which lab sustains the clearest edge through November amid ongoing releases and adoption shifts.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,260Data de Término
1 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent September 2026 model launches have compressed performance gaps, with Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra topping intelligence and coding benchmarks while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash emphasizes speed and lower cost. Traders see second-place positioning as fluid among Google DeepMind, Meta’s Muse Spark, and Anthropic due to differences in agentic workflows, context handling, enterprise revenue momentum, and open-weight traction. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Alibaba add pressure through competitive pricing and token volume gains. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over which lab sustains the clearest edge through November amid ongoing releases and adoption shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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