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Próximo ator de James Bond?

Market icon

Próximo ator de James Bond?

Nenhum Bond escolhido 65%

Callum Turner 21%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 4.3%

Jacob Elordi 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,816,330 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido 65%

Callum Turner 21%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 4.3%

Jacob Elordi 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,816,330 Vol.

Ninguém anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Nenhum Bond escolhido

$249,780 Vol.

65%

Callum Turner é anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Callum Turner

$122,097 Vol.

21%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$98,791 Vol.

4%

Jacob Elordi anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Jacob Elordi

$235,143 Vol.

2%

Theo James anunciado como o novo James Bond? icon

Theo James

$26,961 Vol.

2%

Henry Cavill anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Henry Cavill

$250,975 Vol.

2%

Paul Mescal anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Paul Mescal

$100,869 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Tom Hardy

$75,932 Vol.

1%

James Norton anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

James Norton

$110,777 Vol.

<1%

Jack Lowdon anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Jack Lowdon

$83,185 Vol.

<1%

Josh O'Connor anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Josh O'Connor

$31,687 Vol.

<1%

Harris Dickinson anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Harris Dickinson

$148,327 Vol.

<1%

Tom Holland anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Tom Holland

$70,260 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Brosnan anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Pierce Brosnan

$180,165 Vol.

<1%

James Collier anunciado como o próximo James Bond? icon

Robert James-Collier

$31,379 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs "No Bond chosen" at 64.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios heads' explicit urging for patience just yesterday amid Bond 26's pre-production ramp-up toward possible late-2026 filming and a 2028 release. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 21% reflects persistent casting rumors positioning him as a top producer pick—echoed in recent credible reports alongside Aaron Taylor-Johnson (4.3%) and Jacob Elordi (2.3%)—bolstered by his rising profile post-Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat. Lower odds for veterans like Henry Cavill (1.9%) signal a youth pivot, though secret producer deliberations with Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson keep outcomes unpredictable until an official reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,816,330
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs "No Bond chosen" at 64.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios heads' explicit urging for patience just yesterday amid Bond 26's pre-production ramp-up toward possible late-2026 filming and a 2028 release. Callum Turner's frontrunner status at 21% reflects persistent casting rumors positioning him as a top producer pick—echoed in recent credible reports alongside Aaron Taylor-Johnson (4.3%) and Jacob Elordi (2.3%)—bolstered by his rising profile post-Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat. Lower odds for veterans like Henry Cavill (1.9%) signal a youth pivot, though secret producer deliberations with Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson keep outcomes unpredictable until an official reveal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,816,330
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo ator de James Bond?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 65%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo ator de James Bond?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo ator de James Bond?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" is "Nenhum Bond escolhido" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo ator de James Bond?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.