Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

abr 21

abr 21

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 27%

Black and Blue 27%

Beast 27%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 27%

Polymarket
NOVO

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 27%

Black and Blue 27%

Beast 27%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 27%

Polymarket
NOVO
Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$0 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Black and Blue

$0 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Beast

$0 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$0 Vol.

27%

Market icon

Untold: A Morte e a Vida de Lamar Odom

$0 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Anaconda

$0 Vol.

26%

Market icon

A Quiet Place Part II

$0 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Untold: Jail Blazers

$0 Vol.

26%

Market icon

Thrash

$0 Vol.

25%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's explosive debut has surged to the undisputed #1 spot on Netflix's US Top 10 movies chart, with 54 million hours viewed globally last week and holding daily dominance into April 14, leaving a razor-thin race for #2. Trader consensus reflects neck-and-neck streaming metrics among holdovers: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (#2 last week, strong daily #2), Beast (#3 daily, climbing from #4 weekly), Anaconda (long-tail #5), Black and Blue (#6), and true-crime docs like The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson (#3 weekly) and Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom (#10). Key differentiators include recent view surges for action thrillers versus sustained docuseries appeal, with final Monday-Sunday hours viewed determining resolution amid volatile daily shifts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
21 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's explosive debut has surged to the undisputed #1 spot on Netflix's US Top 10 movies chart, with 54 million hours viewed globally last week and holding daily dominance into April 14, leaving a razor-thin race for #2. Trader consensus reflects neck-and-neck streaming metrics among holdovers: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (#2 last week, strong daily #2), Beast (#3 daily, climbing from #4 weekly), Anaconda (long-tail #5), Black and Blue (#6), and true-crime docs like The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson (#3 weekly) and Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom (#10). Key differentiators include recent view surges for action thrillers versus sustained docuseries appeal, with final Monday-Sunday hours viewed determining resolution amid volatile daily shifts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
21 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 27%, followed by "Black and Blue" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Black and Blue" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.