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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

abr 21

abr 21

Thrash 96%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 49%

Anaconda 46%

Beast 43%

Polymarket
NOVO

Thrash 96%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 49%

Anaconda 46%

Beast 43%

Polymarket
NOVO
Market icon

Thrash

$565 Vol.

96%

Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$84 Vol.

49%

Market icon

Anaconda

$84 Vol.

46%

Market icon

Beast

$85 Vol.

43%

Market icon

Black and Blue

$85 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Untold: A Morte e Vida de Lamar Odom

$84 Vol.

14%

Market icon

A Quiet Place Part II

$85 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$85 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Untold: Jail Blazers

$85 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash commands a commanding 96% implied probability as Netflix's global top movie this week, propelled by its explosive premiere on April 10 and subsequent 37.7 million views—more than five times the 7.3 million for No. 2's The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson. The shark-infested hurricane disaster thriller, starring Bridgerton alum Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, has surged to No. 1 worldwide per Netflix's Tudum charts and FlixPatrol rankings, capitalizing on genre familiarity and binge appeal despite middling 38% critics' scores. Holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Anaconda trail far behind in streaming metrics. An upset would require an unprecedented late-week surge from competitors or data revisions before charts lock, though Thrash's multi-country dominance makes that improbable.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,241
Data de Término
21 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash commands a commanding 96% implied probability as Netflix's global top movie this week, propelled by its explosive premiere on April 10 and subsequent 37.7 million views—more than five times the 7.3 million for No. 2's The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson. The shark-infested hurricane disaster thriller, starring Bridgerton alum Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, has surged to No. 1 worldwide per Netflix's Tudum charts and FlixPatrol rankings, capitalizing on genre familiarity and binge appeal despite middling 38% critics' scores. Holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Anaconda trail far behind in streaming metrics. An upset would require an unprecedented late-week surge from competitors or data revisions before charts lock, though Thrash's multi-country dominance makes that improbable.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,241
Data de Término
21 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 96%, followed by "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.