Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors over 5,000 US flight delays on April 1 at 99.7%, driven by a prolonged partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown prompting 12% TSA sickouts and security wait times exceeding 180 minutes at major hubs including ATL, IAH, and DEN, causing cascading operational disruptions across the national airspace system. Northeast low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms further hampered flights at BOS, JFK, LGA, and EWR, while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at SFO due to runway construction added pressure. Preliminary FlightAware and FAA data confirm totals surpassing 5,000, with final statistics unlikely to revise downward absent data errors or reclassifications. Congressional Republican proposals to end the shutdown may alleviate ongoing strains but cannot retroactively alter April 1 outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado>5,000 99.7%
4,000-4,500 1.0%
4,500-5,000 <1%
2,500-3,000 <1%
$3,113 Vol.
$3,113 Vol.
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
100%
>5,000 99.7%
4,000-4,500 1.0%
4,500-5,000 <1%
2,500-3,000 <1%
$3,113 Vol.
$3,113 Vol.
<2,000
<1%
2,000-2,500
<1%
2,500-3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
1%
4,500-5,000
1%
>5,000
100%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors over 5,000 US flight delays on April 1 at 99.7%, driven by a prolonged partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown prompting 12% TSA sickouts and security wait times exceeding 180 minutes at major hubs including ATL, IAH, and DEN, causing cascading operational disruptions across the national airspace system. Northeast low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms further hampered flights at BOS, JFK, LGA, and EWR, while FAA-mandated arrival reductions at SFO due to runway construction added pressure. Preliminary FlightAware and FAA data confirm totals surpassing 5,000, with final statistics unlikely to revise downward absent data errors or reclassifications. Congressional Republican proposals to end the shutdown may alleviate ongoing strains but cannot retroactively alter April 1 outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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