Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000-6,500 US flight delays for April 10, reflecting uncertainty after Easter weekend peaks of over 5,600 delays on April 4 from severe storms battering Chicago, Dallas, and Miami hubs amid record holiday volumes. Delays eased to under 1,000 by April 7 as traffic normalized, but FAA warnings of gusty winds across Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle airports—echoing April 8 disruptions—coupled with chronic National Airspace System staffing shortages sustain elevated risk. A clean post-holiday recovery with clear skies could favor under 5,000 bins, while convective weather outbreaks or ATC outages might push toward 6,000+. FAA daily reports and DOT arrival statistics (15+ minutes late) will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado4,000-4,500 40%
4,500-5,000 40%
5,000-5,500 40%
5,500-6,000 40%
NOVO
NOVO
10 abr 2026
<4,000
40%
4,000-4,500
40%
4,500-5,000
40%
5,000-5,500
40%
5,500-6,000
40%
6,000-6,500
40%
6,500-7,000
28%
>7,000
28%
4,000-4,500 40%
4,500-5,000 40%
5,000-5,500 40%
5,500-6,000 40%
NOVO
NOVO
10 abr 2026
<4,000
$8,314 Vol.
40%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
40%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
40%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
40%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
40%
6,000-6,500
$23 Vol.
40%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
28%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000-6,500 US flight delays for April 10, reflecting uncertainty after Easter weekend peaks of over 5,600 delays on April 4 from severe storms battering Chicago, Dallas, and Miami hubs amid record holiday volumes. Delays eased to under 1,000 by April 7 as traffic normalized, but FAA warnings of gusty winds across Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle airports—echoing April 8 disruptions—coupled with chronic National Airspace System staffing shortages sustain elevated risk. A clean post-holiday recovery with clear skies could favor under 5,000 bins, while convective weather outbreaks or ATC outages might push toward 6,000+. FAA daily reports and DOT arrival statistics (15+ minutes late) will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$8,337Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000-6,500 US flight delays for April 10, reflecting uncertainty after Easter weekend peaks of over 5,600 delays on April 4 from severe storms battering Chicago, Dallas, and Miami hubs amid record holiday volumes. Delays eased to under 1,000 by April 7 as traffic normalized, but FAA warnings of gusty winds across Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle airports—echoing April 8 disruptions—coupled with chronic National Airspace System staffing shortages sustain elevated risk. A clean post-holiday recovery with clear skies could favor under 5,000 bins, while convective weather outbreaks or ATC outages might push toward 6,000+. FAA daily reports and DOT arrival statistics (15+ minutes late) will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$8,337Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000-6,500 US flight delays for April 10, reflecting uncertainty after Easter weekend peaks of over 5,600 delays on April 4 from severe storms battering Chicago, Dallas, and Miami hubs amid record holiday volumes. Delays eased to under 1,000 by April 7 as traffic normalized, but FAA warnings of gusty winds across Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle airports—echoing April 8 disruptions—coupled with chronic National Airspace System staffing shortages sustain elevated risk. A clean post-holiday recovery with clear skies could favor under 5,000 bins, while convective weather outbreaks or ATC outages might push toward 6,000+. FAA daily reports and DOT arrival statistics (15+ minutes late) will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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