Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for OpenAI anuncia falência por...?
Tecnologia·OpenAI

OpenAI anuncia falência por...?

icon for OpenAI anuncia falência por...?
Tecnologia·OpenAI

OpenAI anuncia falência por...?

NOVO

$28,771 Vol.

31 dez 2027
Polymarket

$28,771 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de dezembro de 2027

31 de dezembro de 2027

$10,484 Vol.

8%

icon for 31 de dezembro de 2028

31 de dezembro de 2028

$7,956 Vol.

16%

icon for 31 de dezembro de 2029

31 de dezembro de 2029

$10,332 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI continues attracting investor interest for a potential new funding round at $1.2–1.5 trillion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $40 billion after recent large language model releases like GPT-5.6. Heavy cash burn—roughly $34 billion spent in 2025 and $3.7 billion in Q1 2026—stems from data center commitments and AI training, yet Microsoft partnerships and fresh capital inflows have sustained operations without debt on the balance sheet. CEO Sam Altman has cited AI safety priorities in delaying any IPO until 2027, while rivals like Anthropic advance their own listings. These dynamics reflect trader consensus that near-term bankruptcy remains unlikely given ongoing access to capital and demonstrated product traction, though sustained losses could pressure timelines if funding momentum shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,771
Data de Término
1 jan 2030
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI continues attracting investor interest for a potential new funding round at $1.2–1.5 trillion valuations, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $40 billion after recent large language model releases like GPT-5.6. Heavy cash burn—roughly $34 billion spent in 2025 and $3.7 billion in Q1 2026—stems from data center commitments and AI training, yet Microsoft partnerships and fresh capital inflows have sustained operations without debt on the balance sheet. CEO Sam Altman has cited AI safety priorities in delaying any IPO until 2027, while rivals like Anthropic advance their own listings. These dynamics reflect trader consensus that near-term bankruptcy remains unlikely given ongoing access to capital and demonstrated product traction, though sustained losses could pressure timelines if funding momentum shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,771
Data de Término
1 jan 2030
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Relacionado

icon for A CoreWeave anunciará falência até 31 de dezembro de 2029?

A CoreWeave anunciará falência até 31 de dezembro de 2029?

23%
Sim
icon for A JC Penney anunciará falência antes de 2027?

A JC Penney anunciará falência antes de 2027?

14%
Sim
icon for A OpenAI fará IPO até 30 de junho de 2027?

A OpenAI fará IPO até 30 de junho de 2027?

57%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI anuncia falência por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2029" at 20%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2028" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI anuncia falência por...?" has generated $28.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI anuncia falência por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI anuncia falência por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2029" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2028" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI anuncia falência por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.