Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa mayoral election, reflecting his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantages amid a sparse field and no public head-to-head polls. Challenger Kitchissippi Coun. Jeff Leiper, at 22.5%, draws support as a three-term progressive critiquing declines in city services like transit reliability, sidewalk maintenance, and garbage collection. Homebuilder Alex Lawson, declared January 23 with conservative backing emphasizing housing affordability and public safety, trails at 3.1%, while others like Catherine McKenney linger low. Nominations open May 1, potentially expanding the race as voters prioritize cost of living and transit per a January real estate survey.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 60%
Jeff Leiper 23%
Alex Lawson 8.9%
Catherine McKenney 6.2%

Mark Sutcliffe
60%

Jeff Leiper
23%

Alex Lawson
9%

Catherine McKenney
6%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 60%
Jeff Leiper 23%
Alex Lawson 8.9%
Catherine McKenney 6.2%

Mark Sutcliffe
60%

Jeff Leiper
23%

Alex Lawson
9%

Catherine McKenney
6%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa mayoral election, reflecting his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantages amid a sparse field and no public head-to-head polls. Challenger Kitchissippi Coun. Jeff Leiper, at 22.5%, draws support as a three-term progressive critiquing declines in city services like transit reliability, sidewalk maintenance, and garbage collection. Homebuilder Alex Lawson, declared January 23 with conservative backing emphasizing housing affordability and public safety, trails at 3.1%, while others like Catherine McKenney linger low. Nominations open May 1, potentially expanding the race as voters prioritize cost of living and transit per a January real estate survey.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions