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Política·TSA

Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?

Market icon
Política·TSA

Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Sim

40% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sim

40% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.

Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.

Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability for over 500 US flight cancellations on March 29, driven by improving weather patterns after mid-March storms that spiked cancellations above 3,000 on March 16 amid blizzards and thunderstorms across the East Coast and Midwest. The FAA's March 27 air traffic report flags only potential delays from high winds in New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms near Chicago (ORD, MDW) and Indianapolis (IND), but no widespread ground stops or severe disruptions forecast. Ongoing spring break travel volumes and TSA staffing strains have caused recent delays—1,198 global cancellations reported March 27—but absent acute pilot shortages or airline strikes, traders anticipate normalized daily operations under the 500 threshold.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA foram cancelados em 29 de março?" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?" is "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA foram cancelados em 29 de março?" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mais de 500 voos nos EUA cancelados em 29 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.