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icon for Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar
Eleições·Brasil

Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar
Eleições·Brasil

Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar

Edlaine Rodrigues 41%

Fernanda Lopes 41%

Chicão 41%

Gizelle Freitas 40%

Polymarket
NOVO

Edlaine Rodrigues 41%

Fernanda Lopes 41%

Chicão 41%

Gizelle Freitas 40%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$16 Vol.

41%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$16 Vol.

41%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$16 Vol.

41%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$16 Vol.

40%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$16 Vol.

38%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$16 Vol.

29%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$16 Vol.

28%

icon for Helder

Helder

$16 Vol.

28%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$16 Vol.

27%

icon for Conti

Conti

$16 Vol.

27%

icon for Delegado Éder Mauro

Delegado Éder Mauro

$16 Vol.

26%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará Senate race for the second seat in Brazil’s 2026 elections, trader odds reflect a highly fragmented field where no single contender has established a durable lead. Recent polls, including Real Time Big Data and Genial/Quaest surveys from late July and early August, show ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) commanding first place with 21–40 percent support, while second-place intentions remain split among Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Celso Sabino (PDT), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), and Chicão Melo (União Brasil) in the 10–16 percent range. This dispersion keeps implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched, as voters select two names and party alliances have yet to consolidate support behind any challenger. Further polling releases, coalition announcements, or campaign momentum in the coming months could shift positioning among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$176
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pará Senate race for the second seat in Brazil’s 2026 elections, trader odds reflect a highly fragmented field where no single contender has established a durable lead. Recent polls, including Real Time Big Data and Genial/Quaest surveys from late July and early August, show ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) commanding first place with 21–40 percent support, while second-place intentions remain split among Delegado Éder Mauro (PL), Celso Sabino (PDT), Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), and Chicão Melo (União Brasil) in the 10–16 percent range. This dispersion keeps implied probabilities for second place tightly bunched, as voters select two names and party alliances have yet to consolidate support behind any challenger. Further polling releases, coalition announcements, or campaign momentum in the coming months could shift positioning among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$176
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Edlaine Rodrigues" at 41%, followed by "Fernanda Lopes" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" is "Edlaine Rodrigues" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fernanda Lopes" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.