Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPrecipitação em Hong Kong em abril?
Precipitação em Hong Kong em abril?
160-170mm 100.0%
<130mm <1%
130-140mm <1%
140-150mm <1%
$152,182 Vol.
$152,182 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
Não
130-140mm
Não
140-150mm
Não
150-160mm
Não
160-170mm
Sim
190-200mm
Não
180-190
Não
190mm+
Não
160-170mm 100.0%
<130mm <1%
130-140mm <1%
140-150mm <1%
$152,182 Vol.
$152,182 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
$41,678 Vol.
Não
130-140mm
$19,677 Vol.
Não
140-150mm
$21,020 Vol.
Não
150-160mm
$29,574 Vol.
Não
160-170mm
$18,467 Vol.
Sim
190-200mm
$5,369 Vol.
Não
180-190
$5,183 Vol.
Não
190mm+
$11,215 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$152,182Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$152,182Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions