With only 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders have priced below 130mm as the consensus leader at 34%, reflecting a notably dry first half compared to the historical April average of around 150mm. The 130-140mm bin trails at 23.5%, buoyed by potential late-month showers as the southwest monsoon onset nears, while higher brackets like 190mm+ languish below 9% amid subdued forecasts. A persistent dry spell over the past week has widened the field, but support could consolidate behind lower totals if forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory hold for normal-to-above-normal but not excessive precipitation in the remaining two weeks; conversely, early tropical disturbances or troughs could boost mid-range outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPrecipitação em Hong Kong em abril?
Precipitação em Hong Kong em abril?
<130mm 26%
130-140mm 21%
140-150mm 13%
190mm+ 8%
$29,025 Vol.
$29,025 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
33%
130-140mm
21%
140-150mm
13%
150-160mm
7%
160-170mm
7%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
2%
190mm+
8%
<130mm 26%
130-140mm 21%
140-150mm 13%
190mm+ 8%
$29,025 Vol.
$29,025 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<130mm
$13,312 Vol.
33%
130-140mm
$5,231 Vol.
21%
140-150mm
$5,712 Vol.
13%
150-160mm
$3,256 Vol.
7%
160-170mm
$340 Vol.
7%
190-200mm
$217 Vol.
2%
180-190
$274 Vol.
2%
190mm+
$682 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders have priced below 130mm as the consensus leader at 34%, reflecting a notably dry first half compared to the historical April average of around 150mm. The 130-140mm bin trails at 23.5%, buoyed by potential late-month showers as the southwest monsoon onset nears, while higher brackets like 190mm+ languish below 9% amid subdued forecasts. A persistent dry spell over the past week has widened the field, but support could consolidate behind lower totals if forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory hold for normal-to-above-normal but not excessive precipitation in the remaining two weeks; conversely, early tropical disturbances or troughs could boost mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Volume
$29,025Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders have priced below 130mm as the consensus leader at 34%, reflecting a notably dry first half compared to the historical April average of around 150mm. The 130-140mm bin trails at 23.5%, buoyed by potential late-month showers as the southwest monsoon onset nears, while higher brackets like 190mm+ languish below 9% amid subdued forecasts. A persistent dry spell over the past week has widened the field, but support could consolidate behind lower totals if forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory hold for normal-to-above-normal but not excessive precipitation in the remaining two weeks; conversely, early tropical disturbances or troughs could boost mid-range outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,025Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With only 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders have priced below 130mm as the consensus leader at 34%, reflecting a notably dry first half compared to the historical April average of around 150mm. The 130-140mm bin trails at 23.5%, buoyed by potential late-month showers as the southwest monsoon onset nears, while higher brackets like 190mm+ languish below 9% amid subdued forecasts. A persistent dry spell over the past week has widened the field, but support could consolidate behind lower totals if forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory hold for normal-to-above-normal but not excessive precipitation in the remaining two weeks; conversely, early tropical disturbances or troughs could boost mid-range outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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