Strong positive buzz from its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival has elevated trader expectations for "Primetime," positioning the 22 million-plus opening weekend bracket as the clear frontrunner at 65 percent implied probability. Robert Pattinson’s star power in the lead role as Chris Hansen, combined with A24’s targeted wide-release push and the film’s timely true-crime premise drawn from “To Catch a Predator,” have shifted sentiment well above earlier 10-to-15 million tracking estimates. The 19-to-22 million range holds the next-largest share at 34 percent, reflecting modest downside risk from competition that weekend. Key catalysts include final presale data and early critical consensus ahead of the September 25 theatrical debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria de fim de semana de abertura "Primetime"
Bilheteria de fim de semana de abertura "Primetime"
19-22 milhões 45%
22m+ 45%
16-19 milhões 6.2%
10-13 milhões <1%
$53,048 Vol.
$53,048 Vol.
27 set 2026
<10 milhões
<1%
10-13 milhões
1%
13-16 milhões
1%
16-19 milhões
6%
19-22 milhões
45%
22m+
47%
19-22 milhões 45%
22m+ 45%
16-19 milhões 6.2%
10-13 milhões <1%
$53,048 Vol.
$53,048 Vol.
27 set 2026
<10 milhões
$4,165 Vol.
<1%
10-13 milhões
$5,661 Vol.
1%
13-16 milhões
$7,055 Vol.
1%
16-19 milhões
$6,937 Vol.
6%
19-22 milhões
$13,774 Vol.
45%
22m+
$15,456 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong positive buzz from its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival has elevated trader expectations for "Primetime," positioning the 22 million-plus opening weekend bracket as the clear frontrunner at 65 percent implied probability. Robert Pattinson’s star power in the lead role as Chris Hansen, combined with A24’s targeted wide-release push and the film’s timely true-crime premise drawn from “To Catch a Predator,” have shifted sentiment well above earlier 10-to-15 million tracking estimates. The 19-to-22 million range holds the next-largest share at 34 percent, reflecting modest downside risk from competition that weekend. Key catalysts include final presale data and early critical consensus ahead of the September 25 theatrical debut.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$53,048Data de Término
27 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong positive buzz from its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival has elevated trader expectations for "Primetime," positioning the 22 million-plus opening weekend bracket as the clear frontrunner at 65 percent implied probability. Robert Pattinson’s star power in the lead role as Chris Hansen, combined with A24’s targeted wide-release push and the film’s timely true-crime premise drawn from “To Catch a Predator,” have shifted sentiment well above earlier 10-to-15 million tracking estimates. The 19-to-22 million range holds the next-largest share at 34 percent, reflecting modest downside risk from competition that weekend. Key catalysts include final presale data and early critical consensus ahead of the September 25 theatrical debut.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$53,048Data de Término
27 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong positive buzz from its world premiere at the Venice Film Festival has elevated trader expectations for "Primetime," positioning the 22 million-plus opening weekend bracket as the clear frontrunner at 65 percent implied probability. Robert Pattinson’s star power in the lead role as Chris Hansen, combined with A24’s targeted wide-release push and the film’s timely true-crime premise drawn from “To Catch a Predator,” have shifted sentiment well above earlier 10-to-15 million tracking estimates. The 19-to-22 million range holds the next-largest share at 34 percent, reflecting modest downside risk from competition that weekend. Key catalysts include final presale data and early critical consensus ahead of the September 25 theatrical debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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