Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPreço de Fechamento do S&P 500 (SPX) em 8 de abril?
Preço de Fechamento do S&P 500 (SPX) em 8 de abril?
6700–6800 100.0%
Abaixo de 6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 Vol.
$18,104 Vol.
8 abr 2026
Abaixo de 6600
Não
6600–6700
Não
6700–6800
Sim
6800–6900
Não
6900–7000
Não
7000+
Não
6700–6800 100.0%
Abaixo de 6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 Vol.
$18,104 Vol.
8 abr 2026
Abaixo de 6600
$1,648 Vol.
Não
6600–6700
$1,483 Vol.
Não
6700–6800
$1,675 Vol.
Sim
6800–6900
$2,649 Vol.
Não
6900–7000
$9,295 Vol.
Não
7000+
$1,353 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volume
$18,104Data de Término
8 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$18,104Data de Término
8 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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