SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in June 2026 at $135 and peaked near $226 before settling around $137 as of the August 21 close, face elevated near-term volatility from successive share unlocks—including a recent 319 million share tranche valued at roughly $43 billion at IPO pricing—that have added supply pressure amid thin float. Starlink revenue growth (now over 60% of the total and the sole profitable segment) and AI-related initiatives such as the Cursor acquisition continue to underpin long-term bullish analyst targets above $200, yet the stock trades at forward multiples exceeding 60x sales with ongoing heavy capex producing GAAP losses, creating a contested range for the week-of-August-24 close. Market-implied odds clustered near 45–50% across the $115–$160 bands reflect this balance between unlock-driven downside risks and growth momentum, with traders pricing in potential swings from macroeconomic risk appetite and any fresh satellite or regulatory updates before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$150-$155 50%
<$115 50%
$115-$120 50%
$125-$130 50%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
<$115
50%
$115-$120
50%
$120-$125
46%
$125-$130
50%
$130-$135
46%
$135-$140
50%
$140-$145
50%
$145-$150
50%
$150-$155
50%
$155-$160
49%
>$160
49%
$150-$155 50%
<$115 50%
$115-$120 50%
$125-$130 50%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
<$115
$0 Vol.
50%
$115-$120
$0 Vol.
50%
$120-$125
$0 Vol.
46%
$125-$130
$0 Vol.
50%
$130-$135
$0 Vol.
46%
$135-$140
$0 Vol.
50%
$140-$145
$0 Vol.
50%
$145-$150
$0 Vol.
50%
$150-$155
$0 Vol.
50%
$155-$160
$0 Vol.
49%
>$160
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in June 2026 at $135 and peaked near $226 before settling around $137 as of the August 21 close, face elevated near-term volatility from successive share unlocks—including a recent 319 million share tranche valued at roughly $43 billion at IPO pricing—that have added supply pressure amid thin float. Starlink revenue growth (now over 60% of the total and the sole profitable segment) and AI-related initiatives such as the Cursor acquisition continue to underpin long-term bullish analyst targets above $200, yet the stock trades at forward multiples exceeding 60x sales with ongoing heavy capex producing GAAP losses, creating a contested range for the week-of-August-24 close. Market-implied odds clustered near 45–50% across the $115–$160 bands reflect this balance between unlock-driven downside risks and growth momentum, with traders pricing in potential swings from macroeconomic risk appetite and any fresh satellite or regulatory updates before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in June 2026 at $135 and peaked near $226 before settling around $137 as of the August 21 close, face elevated near-term volatility from successive share unlocks—including a recent 319 million share tranche valued at roughly $43 billion at IPO pricing—that have added supply pressure amid thin float. Starlink revenue growth (now over 60% of the total and the sole profitable segment) and AI-related initiatives such as the Cursor acquisition continue to underpin long-term bullish analyst targets above $200, yet the stock trades at forward multiples exceeding 60x sales with ongoing heavy capex producing GAAP losses, creating a contested range for the week-of-August-24 close. Market-implied odds clustered near 45–50% across the $115–$160 bands reflect this balance between unlock-driven downside risks and growth momentum, with traders pricing in potential swings from macroeconomic risk appetite and any fresh satellite or regulatory updates before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volume
$0Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in June 2026 at $135 and peaked near $226 before settling around $137 as of the August 21 close, face elevated near-term volatility from successive share unlocks—including a recent 319 million share tranche valued at roughly $43 billion at IPO pricing—that have added supply pressure amid thin float. Starlink revenue growth (now over 60% of the total and the sole profitable segment) and AI-related initiatives such as the Cursor acquisition continue to underpin long-term bullish analyst targets above $200, yet the stock trades at forward multiples exceeding 60x sales with ongoing heavy capex producing GAAP losses, creating a contested range for the week-of-August-24 close. Market-implied odds clustered near 45–50% across the $115–$160 bands reflect this balance between unlock-driven downside risks and growth momentum, with traders pricing in potential swings from macroeconomic risk appetite and any fresh satellite or regulatory updates before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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