Microsoft shares closed at $483.24 on August 21, 2026, following a sharp post-Q4 earnings rally that lifted the stock from sub-$400 levels before a pullback from near-$520 highs. Traders are weighing robust fundamentals—Azure annual revenue exceeding $100 billion with 43% growth and a $678 billion commercial backlog—against elevated AI-related capital expenditures near $175 billion annually and sensitivity to rising Treasury yields. With probabilities clustered tightly around 47.5–49.5% across multiple $10 price bins centered near current levels, market-implied odds reflect balanced sentiment on near-term momentum, volatility from macro data, and any incremental AI adoption signals before the abbreviated trading week concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Microsoft (MSFT) fecha a semana de 24 de agosto às ___?
$460-$470 50%
<$440 50%
$440-$450 50%
$450-$460 50%
<$440
50%
$440-$450
50%
$450-$460
50%
$460-$470
50%
$470-$480
50%
$480-$490
50%
$490-$500
50%
$500-$510
50%
$510-$520
49%
$520-$530
50%
>$530
49%
$460-$470 50%
<$440 50%
$440-$450 50%
$450-$460 50%
<$440
50%
$440-$450
50%
$450-$460
50%
$460-$470
50%
$470-$480
50%
$480-$490
50%
$490-$500
50%
$500-$510
50%
$510-$520
49%
$520-$530
50%
>$530
49%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed at $483.24 on August 21, 2026, following a sharp post-Q4 earnings rally that lifted the stock from sub-$400 levels before a pullback from near-$520 highs. Traders are weighing robust fundamentals—Azure annual revenue exceeding $100 billion with 43% growth and a $678 billion commercial backlog—against elevated AI-related capital expenditures near $175 billion annually and sensitivity to rising Treasury yields. With probabilities clustered tightly around 47.5–49.5% across multiple $10 price bins centered near current levels, market-implied odds reflect balanced sentiment on near-term momentum, volatility from macro data, and any incremental AI adoption signals before the abbreviated trading week concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions