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Finanças·SPX

S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?

Market icon
Finanças·SPX

S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?

4PM

4PM Mar 30

4PM

4PM Mar 30

Subir

32% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$17,304 Vol.

Subir

32% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$17,304 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volume
$17,304
Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, March 27, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Volume
$17,304
Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether S&P 500's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 68% for "Cair." A price of 68% means the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live S&P 500 price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume. S&P 500 Up or Down markets attract active traders reacting to live price movements in real time — this level of activity helps ensure the current Up/Down odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live prices and place a trade directly on this page.

To trade on "S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?," decide whether you believe S&P 500's price at noon ET on March 27 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than S&P 500's price at noon ET on March 27. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?" is 68% for "Cair," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 68% chance that S&P 500's price will finish cair over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live S&P 500 price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "S&P 500 (SPX) para cima ou para baixo em 27 de março?" market resolves based on a comparison of S&P 500's price at noon ET on March 27 versus noon ET on March 27, using Binance SPX/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the March 27 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.