Justice Samuel Alito’s August 2026 confirmation that he intends to serve at least another term has anchored trader expectations against a 2026 U.S. Supreme Court vacancy. The 76-year-old justice’s statement directly countered earlier speculation sparked by a retracted June report. Clarence Thomas, the court’s oldest member at 78, has hired clerks through the 2027 term with no public retirement signals, while the remaining seven justices have issued no health disclosures or departure indications. The court remains at full strength with no official announcements or procedural triggers for a vacancy before December 31. This combination of explicit statements and institutional continuity supports the current 75% trader consensus on “No.”