President Donald Trump has shown no public or private indications of resigning before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm election outcomes, and post-presidency activities while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Official medical reports continue to describe his health as excellent, with no acute crises, sustained scandals, or 25th Amendment discussions gaining traction in Congress or the executive branch as of mid-September 2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 96.5 percent implied probability on “No” aligns with the historical pattern that sitting presidents rarely depart early absent exceptional circumstances. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden health event, successful impeachment proceedings, or extraordinary post-midterm political pressure, though none have materialized in verifiable form.