Traders assign Donald Trump only a low single-digit implied probability of resigning before 2027, reflecting the absence of any sustained political or institutional pressure that has historically prompted presidential exits. Trump has repeatedly emphasized a personal commitment to completing the term, actively campaigned ahead of the 2026 midterms, and described post-presidency life only in reference to 2029. With Republican majorities in Congress and cabinet alignment, neither impeachment nor invocation of the 25th Amendment appears viable on current evidence. Speculation from critics about midterm setbacks or health concerns has not produced verifiable signals of departure. The remaining window to year-end limits opportunities for late developments, such as acute medical events or abrupt shifts in congressional support, that could still alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
3% chance
$23,487 Vol.
$23,487 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
3% chance
$23,487 Vol.
$23,487 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign Donald Trump only a low single-digit implied probability of resigning before 2027, reflecting the absence of any sustained political or institutional pressure that has historically prompted presidential exits. Trump has repeatedly emphasized a personal commitment to completing the term, actively campaigned ahead of the 2026 midterms, and described post-presidency life only in reference to 2029. With Republican majorities in Congress and cabinet alignment, neither impeachment nor invocation of the 25th Amendment appears viable on current evidence. Speculation from critics about midterm setbacks or health concerns has not produced verifiable signals of departure. The remaining window to year-end limits opportunities for late developments, such as acute medical events or abrupt shifts in congressional support, that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,487Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign Donald Trump only a low single-digit implied probability of resigning before 2027, reflecting the absence of any sustained political or institutional pressure that has historically prompted presidential exits. Trump has repeatedly emphasized a personal commitment to completing the term, actively campaigned ahead of the 2026 midterms, and described post-presidency life only in reference to 2029. With Republican majorities in Congress and cabinet alignment, neither impeachment nor invocation of the 25th Amendment appears viable on current evidence. Speculation from critics about midterm setbacks or health concerns has not produced verifiable signals of departure. The remaining window to year-end limits opportunities for late developments, such as acute medical events or abrupt shifts in congressional support, that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,487Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign Donald Trump only a low single-digit implied probability of resigning before 2027, reflecting the absence of any sustained political or institutional pressure that has historically prompted presidential exits. Trump has repeatedly emphasized a personal commitment to completing the term, actively campaigned ahead of the 2026 midterms, and described post-presidency life only in reference to 2029. With Republican majorities in Congress and cabinet alignment, neither impeachment nor invocation of the 25th Amendment appears viable on current evidence. Speculation from critics about midterm setbacks or health concerns has not produced verifiable signals of departure. The remaining window to year-end limits opportunities for late developments, such as acute medical events or abrupt shifts in congressional support, that could still alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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