Trump faces significant institutional barriers to removal before 2027, including the requirement for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, a threshold unmet by recent Democratic resolutions that stalled without advancing. Cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or broad party pressure for voluntary resignation also lacks visible momentum amid ongoing legislative priorities and midterm preparations. Trader consensus at 96% against resignation reflects the absence of credible signals from the administration or Republican leadership, despite polling showing net-negative approval ratings and isolated partisan speculation. Late developments such as a sudden health event, major scandal prompting bipartisan consensus, or unexpected post-midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$20,281 Vol.
$20,281 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump faces significant institutional barriers to removal before 2027, including the requirement for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, a threshold unmet by recent Democratic resolutions that stalled without advancing. Cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or broad party pressure for voluntary resignation also lacks visible momentum amid ongoing legislative priorities and midterm preparations. Trader consensus at 96% against resignation reflects the absence of credible signals from the administration or Republican leadership, despite polling showing net-negative approval ratings and isolated partisan speculation. Late developments such as a sudden health event, major scandal prompting bipartisan consensus, or unexpected post-midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$20,281Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump faces significant institutional barriers to removal before 2027, including the requirement for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, a threshold unmet by recent Democratic resolutions that stalled without advancing. Cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or broad party pressure for voluntary resignation also lacks visible momentum amid ongoing legislative priorities and midterm preparations. Trader consensus at 96% against resignation reflects the absence of credible signals from the administration or Republican leadership, despite polling showing net-negative approval ratings and isolated partisan speculation. Late developments such as a sudden health event, major scandal prompting bipartisan consensus, or unexpected post-midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,281Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump faces significant institutional barriers to removal before 2027, including the requirement for House impeachment followed by a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, a threshold unmet by recent Democratic resolutions that stalled without advancing. Cabinet action under the 25th Amendment or broad party pressure for voluntary resignation also lacks visible momentum amid ongoing legislative priorities and midterm preparations. Trader consensus at 96% against resignation reflects the absence of credible signals from the administration or Republican leadership, despite polling showing net-negative approval ratings and isolated partisan speculation. Late developments such as a sudden health event, major scandal prompting bipartisan consensus, or unexpected post-midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could still shift probabilities within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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