Recent polling places President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37 percent amid ongoing public dissatisfaction with the Iran conflict and elevated living costs. Traders assign a 96.5 percent probability that the weekly average will rise, reflecting expectations of modest stabilization or minor rebound typical after extended declines absent fresh negative catalysts. Key scheduled influences this week include any new economic indicators or diplomatic statements that could shift sentiment. Late-breaking developments such as escalated military action abroad, adverse inflation data, or major partisan controversies remain the primary factors that could still reverse the anticipated direction before the market resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUp
>99% chance
$810 Vol.
$810 Vol.
7 ago 2026
Up
>99% chance
$810 Vol.
$810 Vol.
7 ago 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling places President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37 percent amid ongoing public dissatisfaction with the Iran conflict and elevated living costs. Traders assign a 96.5 percent probability that the weekly average will rise, reflecting expectations of modest stabilization or minor rebound typical after extended declines absent fresh negative catalysts. Key scheduled influences this week include any new economic indicators or diplomatic statements that could shift sentiment. Late-breaking developments such as escalated military action abroad, adverse inflation data, or major partisan controversies remain the primary factors that could still reverse the anticipated direction before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$810Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Up
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Up
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling places President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37 percent amid ongoing public dissatisfaction with the Iran conflict and elevated living costs. Traders assign a 96.5 percent probability that the weekly average will rise, reflecting expectations of modest stabilization or minor rebound typical after extended declines absent fresh negative catalysts. Key scheduled influences this week include any new economic indicators or diplomatic statements that could shift sentiment. Late-breaking developments such as escalated military action abroad, adverse inflation data, or major partisan controversies remain the primary factors that could still reverse the anticipated direction before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$810Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Up
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Up
Recent polling places President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37 percent amid ongoing public dissatisfaction with the Iran conflict and elevated living costs. Traders assign a 96.5 percent probability that the weekly average will rise, reflecting expectations of modest stabilization or minor rebound typical after extended declines absent fresh negative catalysts. Key scheduled influences this week include any new economic indicators or diplomatic statements that could shift sentiment. Late-breaking developments such as escalated military action abroad, adverse inflation data, or major partisan controversies remain the primary factors that could still reverse the anticipated direction before the market resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions