Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado39,0+ 45%
37,0–37,4 44%
37,5–37,9 44%
38,0–38,4 44%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
<37,0
15%
37,0–37,4
44%
37,5–37,9
44%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
44%
39,0+
45%
39,0+ 45%
37,0–37,4 44%
37,5–37,9 44%
38,0–38,4 44%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
<37,0
$0 Vol.
15%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
44%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
44%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
44%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
44%
39,0+
$10 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$10Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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