Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$59,407 Vol.
$59,407 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
88%
Democrata
11%
$59,407 Vol.
$59,407 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$25,795 Vol.
88%
Democrata
$33,612 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$59,407Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$59,407Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her party's August 11 primary. Scott secured his nomination with minimal opposition and maintains a consistent polling lead, including a July University of New Hampshire survey showing him ahead 44% to 33% amid high undecided shares. Although Scott's job approval has fallen to a four-year low, his incumbency, cross-party appeal in a state that has repeatedly backed moderate Republican governors, and the early stage of the general election campaign underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major late-August developments have shifted the race's fundamentals ahead of the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions