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Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo

Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo

França 69%

Noruega 22%

Senegal 11%

Iraque 1.1%

Polymarket

$191,411 Vol.

França 69%

Noruega 22%

Senegal 11%

Iraque 1.1%

Polymarket

$191,411 Vol.

França

$85,487 Vol.

69%

Noruega

$26,005 Vol.

22%

Senegal

$25,563 Vol.

11%

Iraque

$54,355 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I as the clear market favorite at 68.5% implied probability, buoyed by its status as two-time champions, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, and consistent recent international form. Norway at 21.5% benefits from a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign that showcased attacking firepower led by Erling Haaland. Senegal at 10.5% draws strength from its AFCON pedigree and physical style that has historically challenged top European sides. Iraq at 1.1% remains the clear underdog with limited depth against this level of competition. The June 16 opener between France and Senegal, alongside Norway’s schedule, will shape early group dynamics ahead of the June 26 finale.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,411
Data de Término
27 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group I as the clear market favorite at 68.5% implied probability, buoyed by its status as two-time champions, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, and consistent recent international form. Norway at 21.5% benefits from a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign that showcased attacking firepower led by Erling Haaland. Senegal at 10.5% draws strength from its AFCON pedigree and physical style that has historically challenged top European sides. Iraq at 1.1% remains the clear underdog with limited depth against this level of competition. The June 16 opener between France and Senegal, alongside Norway’s schedule, will shape early group dynamics ahead of the June 26 finale.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,411
Data de Término
27 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "França" at 69%, followed by "Noruega" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo" has generated $191.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo" is "França" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Noruega" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Grupo I da Copa do Mundo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.