Skip to main content

UK By Elections previsões e probabilidades

·
UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

15

Ends há 6 meses

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

36%

$133K Vol.

$62.5K today

$21.8K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 11 horas

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

89%

Robert Kenyon

$255K Vol.

$51.1K today

$226K Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 6 horas

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

52%

Burnham 9%+

$44.7K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election Winner

2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry By-Election Winner

95%

Lara Bird

$8.8K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 22 horas

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

89%

Andy Burnham

$7M Vol.

$843K today

$2M Liq.

131

Ends há cerca de 6 horas

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

84%

Richard Gordon Thomson

$18.5K Vol.

$42.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 22 horas

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

87%

Andy Burnham

$24.3K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

89%

December 31, 2026

$76.1K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 12 dias

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

8%

$44.3K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

24%

130m+

$7.4K Vol.

$38.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

38%

45-49

$1.2K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$5.1K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

86%

Democratic Party

$504 Vol.

$150 Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$3.9K Vol.

$36.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$11.4K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

53%

Labour

$93 Vol.

$124 Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$16.9K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

89%

Democratic Party

$11.8K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

UT-02 House Election Winner

UT-02 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$1.5K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UK By Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for UK By Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “UK election called by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Makerfield by-election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Makerfield by-election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to Andy Burnham. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UK By Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.