Elevated Democratic enthusiasm amid President Trump's low approval ratings and dissatisfaction over economic conditions and foreign policy developments has boosted primary turnout and fueled expectations for stronger overall participation in the November midterms. Recent state primary data show Democratic ballots exceeding prior cycles even in Republican-leaning districts, while expanded mail and early voting options alongside growing youth registration provide a structural floor. Republican efforts focus on targeted mobilization in a narrower map of competitive House seats. With forecasts centering near 47-52% of the voting-eligible population, trader consensus clusters probabilities across the 115-130 million vote range, reflecting uncertainty over whether opposition energy or base mobilization will determine the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado125-130 milhões 24%
115-120 milhões 20%
120-125 milhões 19%
110-115 milhões 12%
$25,604 Vol.
$25,604 Vol.
<85 milhões
1%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
2%
95-100 milhões
3%
100-105 milhões
11%
105-110 milhões
6%
110-115 milhões
12%
115-120 milhões
20%
120-125 milhões
19%
125-130 milhões
24%
130 milhões+
7%
125-130 milhões 24%
115-120 milhões 20%
120-125 milhões 19%
110-115 milhões 12%
$25,604 Vol.
$25,604 Vol.
<85 milhões
1%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
2%
95-100 milhões
3%
100-105 milhões
11%
105-110 milhões
6%
110-115 milhões
12%
115-120 milhões
20%
120-125 milhões
19%
125-130 milhões
24%
130 milhões+
7%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated Democratic enthusiasm amid President Trump's low approval ratings and dissatisfaction over economic conditions and foreign policy developments has boosted primary turnout and fueled expectations for stronger overall participation in the November midterms. Recent state primary data show Democratic ballots exceeding prior cycles even in Republican-leaning districts, while expanded mail and early voting options alongside growing youth registration provide a structural floor. Republican efforts focus on targeted mobilization in a narrower map of competitive House seats. With forecasts centering near 47-52% of the voting-eligible population, trader consensus clusters probabilities across the 115-130 million vote range, reflecting uncertainty over whether opposition energy or base mobilization will determine the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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