The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges reflect substantial uncertainty about aggregate voter participation in the 2026 House elections, still months from November 3. Early indicators show mixed primary turnout trends in key states alongside sustained youth interest that could rise or fall with developments on immigration enforcement, energy prices, and foreign policy. Historical midterm patterns typically produce lower engagement than presidential years, yet heightened national stakes and competitive battlegrounds may narrow that gap depending on economic conditions and campaign intensity. Traders weigh these variables against base rates from recent cycles, leaving no single range dominant as broader mobilization dynamics remain fluid.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<85 milhões 22.0%
125-130 milhões 15%
115-120 milhões 14%
120-125 milhões 12%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<85 milhões
22%
85-90 milhões
<1%
90-95 milhões
1%
95-100 milhões
5%
100-105 milhões
7%
105-110 milhões
21%
110-115 milhões
11%
115-120 milhões
27%
120-125 milhões
27%
125-130 milhões
20%
130 milhões+
30%
<85 milhões 22.0%
125-130 milhões 15%
115-120 milhões 14%
120-125 milhões 12%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<85 milhões
$371 Vol.
22%
85-90 milhões
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95 milhões
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100 milhões
$269 Vol.
5%
100-105 milhões
$809 Vol.
7%
105-110 milhões
$436 Vol.
21%
110-115 milhões
$549 Vol.
11%
115-120 milhões
$1,025 Vol.
27%
120-125 milhões
$408 Vol.
27%
125-130 milhões
$1,204 Vol.
20%
130 milhões+
$318 Vol.
30%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges reflect substantial uncertainty about aggregate voter participation in the 2026 House elections, still months from November 3. Early indicators show mixed primary turnout trends in key states alongside sustained youth interest that could rise or fall with developments on immigration enforcement, energy prices, and foreign policy. Historical midterm patterns typically produce lower engagement than presidential years, yet heightened national stakes and competitive battlegrounds may narrow that gap depending on economic conditions and campaign intensity. Traders weigh these variables against base rates from recent cycles, leaving no single range dominant as broader mobilization dynamics remain fluid.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,358Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges reflect substantial uncertainty about aggregate voter participation in the 2026 House elections, still months from November 3. Early indicators show mixed primary turnout trends in key states alongside sustained youth interest that could rise or fall with developments on immigration enforcement, energy prices, and foreign policy. Historical midterm patterns typically produce lower engagement than presidential years, yet heightened national stakes and competitive battlegrounds may narrow that gap depending on economic conditions and campaign intensity. Traders weigh these variables against base rates from recent cycles, leaving no single range dominant as broader mobilization dynamics remain fluid.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,358Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges reflect substantial uncertainty about aggregate voter participation in the 2026 House elections, still months from November 3. Early indicators show mixed primary turnout trends in key states alongside sustained youth interest that could rise or fall with developments on immigration enforcement, energy prices, and foreign policy. Historical midterm patterns typically produce lower engagement than presidential years, yet heightened national stakes and competitive battlegrounds may narrow that gap depending on economic conditions and campaign intensity. Traders weigh these variables against base rates from recent cycles, leaving no single range dominant as broader mobilization dynamics remain fluid.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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