Jerry Carl leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the AL-01 Republican primary, reflecting his first-place finish with 40% of the vote in the May 19 contest ahead of state Rep. Rhett Marques at 31%. The open seat draws seven Republican candidates after Rep. Barry Moore entered the Senate race. Redistricting litigation has created procedural uncertainty around primary validity and potential runoff timing, yet Carl's prior congressional experience and regional support in Mobile-area counties position him as the frontrunner. Marques maintains a secondary position at 30.5% amid the crowded field, while the remaining candidates register minimal shares consistent with limited name recognition and polling visibility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжерри Карл 77%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 2.5%
Остин Сидуэлл 2.5%
$45,430 Объем
$45,430 Объем
Джерри Карл
77%
Ретт Маркес
28%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Остин Сидуэлл
3%
Джошуа Макки
2%
Джон Миллс
1%
Джеймс Ричардсон
<1%
Джерри Карл 77%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 2.5%
Остин Сидуэлл 2.5%
$45,430 Объем
$45,430 Объем
Джерри Карл
77%
Ретт Маркес
28%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Остин Сидуэлл
3%
Джошуа Макки
2%
Джон Миллс
1%
Джеймс Ричардсон
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability in the AL-01 Republican primary, reflecting his first-place finish with 40% of the vote in the May 19 contest ahead of state Rep. Rhett Marques at 31%. The open seat draws seven Republican candidates after Rep. Barry Moore entered the Senate race. Redistricting litigation has created procedural uncertainty around primary validity and potential runoff timing, yet Carl's prior congressional experience and regional support in Mobile-area counties position him as the frontrunner. Marques maintains a secondary position at 30.5% amid the crowded field, while the remaining candidates register minimal shares consistent with limited name recognition and polling visibility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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