Jerry Carl holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Alabama 1st District Republican primary due to his prior service as the district's U.S. representative from 2021 to 2025 and his top finish in the May 2026 ghost primary that preceded court-ordered redistricting. State Representative Rhett Marques trails as the primary challenger, bolstered by earlier fundraising edges and endorsements but limited by Carl's name recognition in the redrawn district. The August 11 special primary remains the decisive contest after boundary changes shifted the seat's composition, with lower-polling candidates such as James Dees, Joshua McKee, Austin Sidwell, John Mills, and James Richardson showing minimal support in available data. Scheduled events within the resolution window center on final candidate positioning and voter turnout in south Alabama.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжерри Карл 65%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 2.5%
Джошуа Макки 2.3%
$45,473 Объем
$45,473 Объем
Джерри Карл
64%
Ретт Маркес
29%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Джошуа Макки
2%
Остин Сидуэлл
2%
Джеймс Ричардсон
2%
Джон Миллс
1%
Джерри Карл 65%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 2.5%
Джошуа Макки 2.3%
$45,473 Объем
$45,473 Объем
Джерри Карл
64%
Ретт Маркес
29%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Джошуа Макки
2%
Остин Сидуэлл
2%
Джеймс Ричардсон
2%
Джон Миллс
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Alabama 1st District Republican primary due to his prior service as the district's U.S. representative from 2021 to 2025 and his top finish in the May 2026 ghost primary that preceded court-ordered redistricting. State Representative Rhett Marques trails as the primary challenger, bolstered by earlier fundraising edges and endorsements but limited by Carl's name recognition in the redrawn district. The August 11 special primary remains the decisive contest after boundary changes shifted the seat's composition, with lower-polling candidates such as James Dees, Joshua McKee, Austin Sidwell, John Mills, and James Richardson showing minimal support in available data. Scheduled events within the resolution window center on final candidate positioning and voter turnout in south Alabama.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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