Jerry Carl leads the Alabama 1st Congressional District Republican primary field at 76% trader consensus following his 40% finish in the May 19 primary, ahead of state Rep. Rhett Marques at 31%. Carl’s prior service in the seat and geographic strength in Mobile County underpin his position, while Marques benefited from stronger late-2025 fundraising but trailed in primary returns. Ongoing federal litigation over congressional maps has created procedural uncertainty around the scheduled June 16 runoff and potential special primaries, yet market pricing aligns with Carl’s established primary advantage and incumbency experience against a field of lesser-known challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжерри Карл 68%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 2.5%
Остин Сидуэлл 2.3%
$45,457 Объем
$45,457 Объем
Джерри Карл
76%
Ретт Маркес
32%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Остин Сидуэлл
2%
Джошуа Макки
2%
Джон Миллс
2%
Джеймс Ричардсон
<1%
Джерри Карл 68%
Ретт Маркес 8%
Джеймс Дис 2.5%
Остин Сидуэлл 2.3%
$45,457 Объем
$45,457 Объем
Джерри Карл
76%
Ретт Маркес
32%
Джеймс Дис
3%
Остин Сидуэлл
2%
Джошуа Макки
2%
Джон Миллс
2%
Джеймс Ричардсон
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the Alabama 1st Congressional District Republican primary field at 76% trader consensus following his 40% finish in the May 19 primary, ahead of state Rep. Rhett Marques at 31%. Carl’s prior service in the seat and geographic strength in Mobile County underpin his position, while Marques benefited from stronger late-2025 fundraising but trailed in primary returns. Ongoing federal litigation over congressional maps has created procedural uncertainty around the scheduled June 16 runoff and potential special primaries, yet market pricing aligns with Carl’s established primary advantage and incumbency experience against a field of lesser-known challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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