Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+27, reflecting consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent election cycles and making it one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House. Primary results from May 2026 advanced Republican contenders including Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques, while the Democratic nominee Clyde W. Jones faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold wide registration and turnout edges. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92.5% consensus for the GOP. A late scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or sustained shifts in local voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though historical data shows limited precedent for such reversals in this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAL-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AL-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$37,674 Объем
$37,674 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
$37,674 Объем
$37,674 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$18,083 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$19,590 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+27, reflecting consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent election cycles and making it one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House. Primary results from May 2026 advanced Republican contenders including Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques, while the Democratic nominee Clyde W. Jones faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold wide registration and turnout edges. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92.5% consensus for the GOP. A late scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or sustained shifts in local voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though historical data shows limited precedent for such reversals in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Объем
$37,674Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+27, reflecting consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent election cycles and making it one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House. Primary results from May 2026 advanced Republican contenders including Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques, while the Democratic nominee Clyde W. Jones faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold wide registration and turnout edges. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92.5% consensus for the GOP. A late scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or sustained shifts in local voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though historical data shows limited precedent for such reversals in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,674Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+27, reflecting consistent strong support for GOP candidates in recent election cycles and making it one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House. Primary results from May 2026 advanced Republican contenders including Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques, while the Democratic nominee Clyde W. Jones faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans hold wide registration and turnout edges. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92.5% consensus for the GOP. A late scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unusually strong national Democratic wave, or sustained shifts in local voter mobilization could narrow the margin, though historical data shows limited precedent for such reversals in this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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